AFTER SUPER SATURDAY, YOUR CANDIDATE ISN'T ANY CLOSER TO THE WHITE HOUSE
On Super Saturday Republicans voted in Kansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, and Maine, while Democratic elections were held in Kansas, Louisiana, and Nebraska.
On the Republican side Donald Trump, once again emerged victorious, picking up 53 delegates with his wins in Kentucky and Louisiana (36%, and 41% respectively).
Ted Cruz managed to win the other two states and gained 69 delegates with his 48% in Kansas and 46% in Maine.
Marco Rubio gained a total of 18 delegates but didn’t win or even finish runner up in any of the states.
For the Republican race, this means that very little has changed in terms of arithmetic, momentum, and tactical considerations.
Trump is still hoping that he can win enough of the winner-take-all states coming up in the weeks ahead, to once and for all clinch the nomination. The fact that Cruz managed to win two states, however, could be a sign that this goal will be more difficult to achive than it seemed just a few days ago.
For both Cruz and Rubio the odds of an outright win are becoming ever more slim, especially as long as both men stay in the race. One deciding factor that will determine if this situation continues will be the Florida primary. If Mr Rubio gets beaten in his home state, he will be hard pressed to explain why he should continue his campaign.
In any case, the Republican establishment now seems to have shifted its strategy, from trying to establish an alternative frontrunner to Mr Trump, to just aiming to deny him the delegates necessary to seal the deal. For the first time in decades this could mean that a brokered convention will hash out the GOP candidate. Since there is no predicting what will happen at a convention, Rubio just might want to stay in the race until the very end, even if he continues losing.
Over at the Democrats, Hilary Clinton won the delegate count 55 to 49 against Bernie Sanders by crushing her opponent in Louisiana with 71% of the vote. Sanders, however, picked up the two other states with 68% (Kansas) and 57% (Nebraska). This means that despite most in the news media completely convinced that Clinton will be nominee, there is still a (slim) chance for Sanders to turn the race around in Michigan on March 8th, and on March 15th, with wins in states like Florida and Illinois. It will likely be his last.