Iran - Israel: Peace or War?
The International Institute for Middle-East and Balkan Studies (IFIMES) in Ljubljana, Slovenia, regularly analyses events in the Middle East and the Balkans. Marjan Hajnal, M. Sc., member of the IFIMES International Institute, presents his view of the current Iran-Israel relations. His article entitled "IRAN - ISRAEL: PEACE OR WAR?" is here published in its entirety.
The chronology of recent events in the Middle East has been marked by a rather panicky search by the Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu for constructive geopolitical guidelines that would be suitable to all the potential decision-makers resolving the burning issues. Without adequate responses to those issues it is not possible to foresee the answer to the question "Peace or War?". Defence Minister Ehud Barack has also called the Palestinians to the negotiating table, although in a rather pathetic and untypical manner. The situation was further dramatised by the statement of the Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah who said that an armed response to Israel's eventual new attack against Lebanon would be far more efficient and destructive for Israel than the 2006 war. Ehud Barack was no less militant as he replied that this time Israel would not give in to the demands to cease war activities and that it would use "all available means". Despite the UN Security Council Resolution 1701 on the prohibition of armament for Hezbollah this paramilitary organisation has, according to certain reliable Israeli sources, accumulated 42 000 missiles able to hit targets as distant as Tel Aviv.
In this situation and without leaving any manoeuvring space, Netanyahu has called Syria to enter negotiations, sending it some ambivalent messages based on deceptive and insufficiently clear allusions to the return of the Golan Heights. In Syria those ideas are being carefully analysed without excessive optimism, especially since Israel has offered a dialogue without any prior conditions, while the Syrian condition for peace is the return of Golan which was occupied in the six-day war in 1967.
JERUSALEM - A DUAL CAPITAL?
At times when the Druze and Bedouin communities, who were traditionally loyal to Israeli authorities, are starting to give their votes to the Palestinians against the dispossession of land for the construction of new Israeli settlements, the Israeli government is feverishly making promises about changes while at the same time persisting on the non-division of Jerusalem and preservation of its jurisdiction. Contrary to the commitments made to the wider international community and its ambitions to meet the demands of its citizens on the allocation of new residential enclaves which are indenting like antipodes deeper and deeper into the Arab territory, the Israeli government is offering to the Palestinian side the trumps it does not posses. How else can we explain the statements of Knesset members on the need to enable the Palestinians to establish their own state, unless this future state is a priori allowed to proclaim Jerusalem their administrative seat? This casts a shadow on the agreements reached in Annapolis in 2007 on the creation of the Palestinian state with Jerusalem as dual capital. This frustrating and deceiving vagueness has led the leader of the Palestinian Authority Mahmoud Abbas to state that he would not run for the second term of office at elections which he has called for February next year. Although five years after Yasser Arafat's death the Palestinians are still nostalgic about the legendary PLO leader, it should be noted that Abbas's position has evolved from non-recognition ("Jewish state - what is that supposed to mean?", April 2009.) to a sharp swerve and recognition (August 2009), which has led to deeper conflicts with Hamas, whereby Abbas was regarded as a traitor and non-Palestinian. The Israelis are sceptical about new concessions after the failed negotiations in Camp David led by the then president Ehud Barack and Yasser Arafat. They still remember concessions made by Yitzhak Rabin (who allowed Arafat to return after long years in exile and approved Palestinian authority over the Gaza Strip, Nablus, Jericho, Bethlehem, Ramallah, Hebron), which were in turn followed by unprecedented terrorist attacks against civil targets (busses, discotheques, markets, restaurants, university) and the bombing of southeast Jerusalem settlement of Gilo. Another disappointment followed when Ariel Sharon ordered the removal of Jewish settlements near Gaza as a pawn for peace, while the rocket attacks not only did not stop but even intensified and lasted for seven years until the Israeli forces eventually attacked Gaza at the end of 2008.
THE IZRAEL-HAMAS-HEZBOLLAH TRIANGLE
Additional arguments for Israel to dismiss the Goldstone report on war crimes committed by its forces were gained with the seizure of the Francop cargo vessel with over 40 containers with hidden missiles and other weapons of more than 300 tonnes of total weight, which was enough for one-month of intensive war. However, the seized weapons only represent the visible part of the iceberg in comparison with the volumes smuggled to Lebanon in spite of all the vigilance of UN observers. It should not be forgotten that the seizure of the Karine-A ship with about 50 tonnes of weapons on 3 January 2002 contributed to a direct brake-up of relations with Arafat and his captivity in Ramallah. In both cases the responsibility for the armament of Hezbollah and Hamas lay with Iran and Syria. For Israel this was the proof that even after devastating wars those states are not eager for peace. The seizure of armament on board the Francop vessel could just as well be a welcome decoy to distract attention from more serious problems such as the accusations of war crimes against the Israeli, Hamas and Hezbollah leadership. Despite the changed picture of Lebanon after the recent war ravages in 2006, little has changed in the militant rhetoric of Hezbollah's spiritual leaders. After the change in power we have seen an assimilation of terrorists in the Lebanon forces who at first sight arbitrarily and sporadically fire missiles to the northern part of Israel thus maintaining constant tensions and verifying the tolerance levels of the Israeli headquarters. The aim of these high-level tensions and constant missile provocations is to stir up a new chaotic war with even more severe consequences. The synergy effect of the chaos doctrine is reduced to depleting and compromising the Israeli forces.
WAR AND/OR ILLUSION
The two pillars of the destruction of Logos are called War and Illusion. The battle of concepts at the level of self-realisation of the absolute self-conscience has been present since the Persian invasion of the ancient Israel or, subsequently, the devastation of Athens and the anathema launched from the Acropolis. The systems have changed from anthropocentrism and deism, atheism and Nazism to fictions and technological progress, but each megachange was initiated with the notions of some personal Demiurge who favoured the "chosen" people of "his own" nation.
The catastrophe theory is not new - its origins can be found in ancient writings on Veda and Avesta, and during the human eras it was marked by impersonal deification of Illusion without identity. The fear of visualising God resulted in the tradition of annihilating any attempt of an aesthetic interpretation of deity through fine arts or literature (in Orthodox Judaism it was even prohibited to mention the deity in the original phonetic form, therefore the synonyms Elohim and Adonai, Lord of Hosts, Shem (name), or simply He were used). The Kabalists passed on the inherited perception of apocalypse as the state of general chaos or "tohu va vohu" to their Christian and Islamic successors. Their common feature was fatal nihilism and destruction of taboos, with the formation of two directions: the Jewish feminism and Islamist patriarchy. All the future globally-situated suicidal bipolar paradigm on the impossibility of co-existence and even of existence has been based on this artificially conditioned entropic splitting of the social system. From behind the curtain most strings are pulled by the Gnostics, technotronic gurus, the chiefs of totalitary military unions, unifiers of regimes, creators of pacts, coordinators of conspiracies, controllers of pandemies and other plagues, who are mostly based on the idea on the destruction of Israel as a way of its restoration. This has been the common goal of Kabalists, Jesuites, neo-Templars, neo-Nazis and narco-inspirators of general anarchy or monarchy of Darkness and Terror. In other words, this game of the Lords of Light and Darkness has given birth to communism and all of its ideas with over 100 million victims, and to an even greater threat we are facing today: According to the revival of ornamentalism and collective nazi-hysteria which have overflown Sweden, England and the US, the story of Hitler has not ended. What is even more shocking, Nazism has found its followers in the former socialist countries (Russia, the Czech Republic, Poland, Serbia, Croatia) despite the inconceivable losses they had suffered.
IRAN BETWEEN THE WEST, CHINA AND RUSSIA
It is the question of time when Iran will regret having overthrown emperor Pahlavi. It would be quite justified to propose a hypothesis on the infiltration of Western intelligence services in the overthrowing, since despite his alleged flexibility and intelligent pro-Western inclination Pahlavi had his own vision of autonomous ruling of the ancient Persian nation with the goal to preserve the original identity. As such he was regarded as indecisive on the outside and as a traitor on the inside (by the Islamists) and eventually became the victim of the change of eras. However, it is only now that the Iranian people have realised that they are terrorised by a handful of despots who are powerful enough to use the cruellest methods of punishing and keeping the whole nation frightened. What else can the young Iranians do but resort to suicidal ideas? On the brink of an abyss Ahmadinadjad's regime is resorting to dubious transactions with China and Russia, not realising that those circles are just as hypocritical, distant and exploiting as those of the US, France and Germany. Just as Iran has cruelly persecuted members of the Bahai community, China has been engaged in persecuting, torturing and killing the followers of Falung-Gong - this is what the two countries have in common. China and Russia have both their own interests and reasons for helping Iran in developing military technology. The overthrowing of Shah enabled the creation of chaos and the exportation of Islamic revolution to Afghanistan and Pakistan, which has brought instability to the whole region. This has made it easy to control the former silk routes, only this time they are used for smuggling drugs, human beings and highly sophisticated military technology. It is not a coincidence that so many states are interested in controlling Afghanistan as all the routes to China pass through this wretched country. However, China is not content with its Eastern side being so very open, which is the reason for its substantial and insufficiently discreet assistance to Iran. Unfortunately, this "assistance" has been revealed in Gaza, the tragic intersection of the three continents. This is where the tripolar geometry of apocalypse starts and ends.
The role of Russia in this conglomerate of relations represents a partial enigma. The strengthening of Slavic white ethnic Nazism shows that Jelcin's drunk jiving was in fact a virtuoso wire dance. Possessing all the demonic vitality of his Raskolnikov genes and having saved Russia from a coup d'état with his famous speech delivered from a tank on 19 August 1991, Jelcin foretold a new political orientation based on the principled rejection of any redundant economic ballast. The withdrawal from Eastern Germany had significant repercussions on the changes in relations not only in Europe but also in the Middle East. Instead of exhaustive direct confrontation with the West it is much easier to engage hirelings. Thus it is clear that Israel's conflict with Syria and Iran actually goes beyond the borders of those states. The same applies to North and South Korea. No matter what kind of local war is being fought, it is always the superpowers that are indirectly testing their forces. However, the price of such insanity is always paid by the small nations. The crisis that arises from the failed multi-level ideology always hits most severely those who are the weakest. For the poor, wars are preceded, accompanied and followed by famine, while the wealthy do not even feel it.
ISRAEL AS A NUCLEAR POWER
Obviously led by distress, Israel has eventually become a nuclear power. Ehud Barack's reply that Israel would retaliate using "all available means"ominously implies all available options. Despite being inevitably pushed in the direction of mystic Armageddon, Israel does not wish the nuclear premonitions to come true. By sending signals to the West that Iran's nuclear programme is hiding much more malicious intentions, Israel is appealing to the sanity in an attempt to achieve the impossible: to survive, to enlarge and to enable the creation of the Palestinian state. In a beseeching call for help to prevent Iran's imamites to get hold of a nuclear bomb the Jewish nation has put their already fragile reputation at stake, ruining it with forced military actions in Lebanon and Gaza. Undoubtedly that region has been sacrificed in advance as a polygon for testing the virulence of Syrian and Iranian intelligence services whose goals are indoctrination, fanatisation and technical training of potential suicide bombers. Faced with the Egyptian border porosity Israel has no other alternative but to build walls and set up more control points.
In an euphoric pursuit of support, understanding and protection, Israel's authorities have overlooked numerous weaknesses in their own rows. The inner enemy number one is corruption, followed by theocratic ruthlessness and insensitiveness towards those who are not the followers of "Tanakh" ("the Five Books of Moses"). This situation provides the pre-conditions for non-selective anti-Semitism, which leads to a general animosity towards everything that is related to Israel. The jargon of neo-Nazis is not a neo-jargon. It is unambiguously not only anti-religious but also generally antisemitistic, anti-Arabian and anti-Islamic. Nazi literature is being translated and read and new books with racist overtones are being written.
Thus, one small country or a micro-polis has become the nursery of macro-diversities. As if turned to stone by Medusa's eyes, the world is lamenting the destiny and awaiting the sword of Perseus. Iranian religious leader Bab and before him Zarathustra, the real purebred Arians, were the modern Perseus, the envoys and favourites of Aryan Valleyo. Does the Middle East, following the humane impulses of its true prophets, possess the will and power to reach out the hand to its little brother, as did Khshayarsha, Xerxes I the Great, the "ruler of heroes" in 490 BC when he generously allowed the Jews to return to their homes after Babylonian captivity? If the extremists get hold of the secret of the nucleus, will the destiny of Persepolis be repeated? With its dominating geostrategic position between the Persian Gulf to the South and the Caspian basin to the North, Iran may have a direct influence over the whole Middle East region. Thats is certainly known to the Western forces who want to weaken Iran's power and establish full control over the oil energy products.
Nevertheless, hopingly the wisdom of the descendants of ancient Indo-Ariyan heroes will prevail and they will find the way out of the labyrinth of hopelessness without the illusive Ariadne's thread. The illusions on the re-levelling of blind powers would then be discarded with the victory of human mind freed from the bonds of violence, proving to the West that its cradle was once in the East.
Ljubljana, 18 December 2009
International Institute for Middle-East and Balkan Studies (IFIMES) - Ljubljana
Zijad Becirovic, M.Sc.